Statement of a problem № m40574


Alexander et al. (1997) apply capture–recapture methods to estimate the number of Mead’s milkweed plants in a tract in Kansas. In some years, Mead’s milkweed plants do not produce aboveground parts; in addition, if they are in dense vegetation and are not flowering, they are difficult to observe. Thus, a census of observed plants in any given year is likely an undercount. From the first two years of observation, 15 plants were observed in year 1 but not in year 2, 12 plants were observed in year 2 but not in year 1, and 33 plants were observed in both years. Estimate the total number of plants in the tract, along with a 95% CI.

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